Wednesday, 3 April 2013

Political gimmick or future-security initiatives

Close to its completion of five-year term the PPP-coalition government’s focus was on the recent economic initiatives, including the handing of Gwadar seaport to China and the signing of Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline project agreements, though the nationwide criticism was understandable that such initiatives had been taken only to draw out political mileage as the May 11 election date was fast approaching. But the move forward, despite criticism at home, pressure from abroad and threats of international sanctions, has been firmly taken as the ground-breaking initiative; it merits attention as well as seriousness as a pure commercial venture dictated by the universally acknowledged demand and supply principle. If implemented and sustained, both the agreement could be a turning point for Pakistan, and the region, because it would have multi dimensional impact on the economy. Though it would take almost two years to pump the direly needed gas, yet it would give hope to an extremely energy deficient industry and inspire the potential investors to plan and invest to reap benefits from vast market of a country of 180 million people as well as neighbouring markets in Afghanistan and Central Asia. For Islamabad, the pipeline means energy security, which, in turn, means political stability as Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad called it indispensible to eradicate Pakistan’s energy deficit. And if India, and later on China, joins the power cooperation partnership, the regional energy dynamism would certainly reshape into collective prosperity and coexistence.
Besides the pipeline agreement and change in the management of Gwadar Port, the grant of MFN status to India, the signing of Afghan Transit Trade Agreement, etc indicate towards Pakistan’s unflinching resolve and substantial political will for regional outreach aimed at moving the South and Central Asian regions towards shared prosperity in bilateral, sub-regional, regional and trans-regional frameworks. This commitment under a strong leadership can convince the US and world nations to recognize Pakistan’s needs to balance their own economic needs with its responsibilities as an ally. The handing over of Gwadar Port to a Chinese company is a stark reminder of both the importance and strength of Pakistan-China relations. The strength of this friendship and its steady growth are based squarely on the convergence of their strategic interests. From purely a strategic point of view, the future prospects of Pakistan-China relations are quite bright. It was against this background that during the fifth round of the Pakistan-China Strategic Dialogue held in Beijing in November 2012, Pakistan’s Foreign Secretary and the Chinese Vice Foreign Minister agreed that Pakistan and China needed to close ranks to face the extraordinary global and regional challenges. Future possibilities of economic and commercial cooperation include a rail link between Pakistan and China, oil and gas pipelines through Pakistan to connect Xinjiang and the rest of China with the Strait of Hormuz and West Asia via the land route, and a rapid increase in bilateral trade. What we need on our part is to create a secure environment that will serve long-term objectives associated with Balochistan’s vis a vis Pakistan’s economic development.
It is advisable that the new government emerging out as a result of fair, free, transparent and independent elections would show the spine and stick to completing these projects though the chances are said to bleak. Because this is in our economic interest for the future security and prosperity of the country.

F Z Khan

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